In the first half of 2025, China’s economy is showing stable growth: GDP in Q1 increased by 5.4% year-on-year, exceeding analysts’ forecasts. The main driver remains high-tech exports and the growth of the logistics and IT sectors. However, internal problems, especially the prolonged real estate crisis, continue to constrain the recovery of domestic demand. Despite this, China maintains growth rates through active government stimulus, lower reserve requirements and investment in strategic industries. The external trade situation has slightly improved: recent contacts with the US have eased tariff tensions.
The yuan remains stable, and in the offshore segment (CNH) retains flexibility and liquidity — this is the segment where international investors actively operate. XFINE offers its clients trading in popular CNH pairs, including USD/CNH and EUR/CNH. According to the company’s analysts, the yuan has potential for strengthening, but much will depend on the policy of the People’s Bank of China and the further restoration of confidence in Chinese assets. Investors are advised to monitor negotiations and key macroeconomic indicators closely.